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1、33个邮件全部删除O邮件Harper!harper!这是派对不是葬礼ItsaParty,notafuneral.这是我妈妈的（派对）Uh,itwasmymom,s.天哪你有时候真让人受不了God,youcanbesuchabitchsometimes.数字追凶第四季第8集我是EppesEppes.知道了我现在就去Allright,allright,allright,monmyway.你认得其中任何一人吗SimmS小姐？Didyourecognizeanyofthem,misssimms?这事发生得太快我都没看到他们ItallhappenedsofastJdidntevenseethem.那事发
2、之前呢？你有没有留意到有人盯着Ella?Whataboutbefore?Didyouseeanyonehangingaround,watchingella?当然所有人都在盯着她她可是Ella啊Everyone.Imean,she,sella.嗯多谢你的合作Right.Thanksverymuch.挟持逃逸？straight-upgrab?没错加上闪光弹和全自动式武器Yeah,withflashgrenadesandautomaticweapons,他们非常专业没其他伤亡andtheywereprofessionalenoughnottohurtanyone.我们有一堆目击者Well,aloto
3、fwitnesses.但这么多人里没一个对我们有帮助Andnotagoodoneinthebunch.她不是一般的孩子她是EllaPierceIt,snotanyordinaryclubkid.Ifsellapierce.嗯就是那个有钱钟情于派对的女孩？Whathatrichkid?Thepartygirl?看来“某人“有浏览网上粉丝站Someonesbeentrollinginternetfansites.她父亲是WarrenPierce20亿的身家Herfatheriswarrenpierce.Hesworth,like,$2billion.他的纺织工场遍布所有的发展中国家He,sgott
4、extilefactoriesineverycountryintheworldwithoutaminimumwage.有人联♥系&hearts他了？Hebeennotified?他在飞往阿斯本的途中接到我的通知正在飞回来的路上Italkedtohimonhisplaneenroutetoaspen.Hesonhiswayback.你们好吗？我是JeffUPChUrChHowyoudoing?Jeffupchurch.你好-紧急事件反应小组Hihere.-Criticalincidentresponse.我是DOnEppesDoneppes.我在去瓜达拉哈拉途中被人召回来Iwaso
5、nmywaytoguadalajara,andtheyreroutedme.估计我是离这里最近的专家所以.mguessingIwasthenearestspecialistinthearea,so.你是什么的专家？Specialistinwhat?你们一年处理多少绑♥架&hearts漆？10到15宗？Youguysdo,what,ten,15kidnappingsayear?在墨西哥城我一个月就处理15宗Mexicocity,Ido15amonth.我还在欧洲亚洲和阿富汗处理过绑♥架♥案Workkidnappingseurope,asia,afghan
6、istan.次次情况不同次次也都有共同点Itsalwaysdifferent,alwaysthesame.那么这次有何不同？So,whatsdifferentaboutthisone?我暂时不知道Idontknowyet.像这样的高额绑♥架♥案你就要从犯罪组织的高层查起Butthebigmoneysnatchestendtoputyouincontactwithahigherclassoflowlife.如果他们有预谋的话我可以肯定一定是的Iftheyknowtheirbusiness,andmcertainlyguessingtheydo,我们要展开同步追查为交赎
7、做准备和计划谈判策略将会有各种变数werelookingatsimultaneousmovement,expectedpayouts,bargainingstrategies.Lotofvariableshere.你们在谈论不完全信息博弈论？Youguystalkingaboutimperfectinformationgames?我去登记其他人的身份mgonnacheckinSID.你一定是eppes教授-你好youmustbeprofessoreppes.-Pleasure.调杳局给我一份去年CheLobo绑♥架♥案的行动报告Bureaugavemeacopyof
8、theactionreportfromthecheIobokidnappinglastyear.我必须承认我对你的迷宫算法非常敬佩Gottotellyou,mveryimpressedwiththemazemath.多谢你的赞赏-也许你能用类似的方法帮助破这个案Thanks.-Couldusesomesimilarinspirationhere.看起来你已经开始了你之前在说博弈论？Soundslikeyoumighthavealreadystarted.Youwerejusttalkingaboutgametheory?没错假设我们要找的绑匪是老手Iwas.Assumingthatourkid
9、nappersareexperienced,或者他们从其他绑匪身上吸取经验ortheyhavebenefitedfromtheexperienceofotherkidnappers,我们可以用个优化方式叫做禁忌搜索Wecanuseanoptimizationmethodherecalledatabusearch,基本上就是一种无用信息的排除法whichisbasicallyawayofexcludingbaddata.例如排除绑匪不会逃往的地方好划分出他们路径Placeswherethekidnapperswontgotoisolatewheretheywillgo.所以才称其为“禁忌”搜索对
10、吧？Iguessthatswhytheycallittabu,right?这群劫匪他们像一群远足者Thesekidnappers-theyrelikeagroupofhikers.他们会事先计划好一条路线Buttheyvemappedoutaveryspecificroute.这一路线受到地形森林密度危险的动物和水域阻滞的影响Thatrouteiscomplicatedbytheterrain,bythedensityoffoliage,bydangerousanimals,bywaterbarriers.他们利用个人经验地图精确度及他们的具体需要来克服这些困难Theydealwiththes
11、eobstaclesusingtheirexperience,usingtheaccuracyoftheirmaps,theirneeds.禁忌搜索可以筛选出这些远足者所选择的最佳路线Andatabusearchcanpinpointtheoptimalroutethatthehikerscanthenchoose.假设劫匪的目的是安全得到赎金Now,assumingthatoppsgoalisthesafecollectionofaransom,我可以解析他们的行动方法并预测他们的下一步Icaninterprettheirmethodology;Icanpredicttheiractions
12、.好吧这要多久？Okay.Howsoon?这里资料太少了NotalotOfinformationhere,youknow?我的估计会非常笼统Myprojectionsaregoingtobefairlygeneral.但是一直都是资料越多我的估计会越准确butasalways,themoredatathatcomesin,themorehelpfulIcanbe.喂EppesYeah.Eppes.钥匙还没拔♥出♥来♥keysstillintheignition.我找些东西Igotsomething.来看看这个Checkthisout.播放我PLAYME
13、WarrenPierce是个罪犯一个靠剥削他人发迹的寄生虫Warrenpierceisacriminal,aruthlessparasitewholivesoffthebacksoftheworkersheexploits.他欠社会的债到期了要是他还不肯还债的话Hisdebttosocietyhascomedue,andifhedoesntpayit.人♥民♥国际主义联盟将用他女儿的血来还债thepeoplesnationalistagendawilltakeitinthebloodofhisdaughter.我们会在今天中午向Pierce先生提出我们的要求Well
14、contactMr.Piercewithourdemandsatnoontoday.人♥民♥国际主义联盟简称PNAKgagenda,akathepna.反集团反自♥由♥贸易Anti-corporate,anti-freetrade.还反WarrenPierceAnti-warrenpierce.他们的网站负责人自称为SanteeTheguywhorunsthewebsite-hecallshimselfsantee,但是局里的反恐部门找不到与这个名字对应的照片butthebureauscounterterrorismunit-theydo
15、nthaveafacetogowiththatname.他们甚至觉得此名背后并非一人Theydonteventhinkit,soneperson.问题是我们连一个知晓其身份的会员都没有Thingis,wedontevenhaveanyidentifiablemembers.反全球化的抗♥议♥游♥行♥中四处都是高举的标语1mean,thebannersgoupatantiglobalizationprotests,之后有人在个被破坏的工地上喷上PNAsomebodyspray-paintspna1atavandalizedconstructionsite,但是他们没有任何中心组织buttheredoesntseemtobeanyreabcentralizedorganization.好的也许他们在耍我们？劫匪借PNA作为个幌子Allright,somaybetheyrejustmessingwithus,youknow?Maybethey,rejusthi
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