Capgemini-技术愿景2024-推动未来.docx

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1、EXECUTIVECOMPANIONTECHNOVISION2024/PromptthefutureTAB1.ECONTENTSOFINTRODUCTION05WHICHTECHNO1.OGY(MEGA)TRENDSWI1.1.SEEINF1.ECTIONPOINTSIN2024?QGenerativeArtificialIntelligence-SmallWillBetheNewBig07QuantumTechnology-WhenCyberMeetsQuantum08Semiconductors-Moorezs1.awIsntDead,ButItIsChanging10Batteries-

2、ThePowerofNewChemistry11SpaceTech-AddressingtheEarthsChallengesfromOuterSpace13Beyond2024-OtherTechnologiesShapingtheNext5Years15TECHNOVISION2024SUMMARIZED1622TECHNOVISION2024:WHASNEW?19FURTHERRESEARCH/PromptWhatwillsmarttechnologyinthefuturelooklike?MichielboreelPASCA1.BRIERExecutiveVicePresidentan

3、dGlobalChiefTechnologyOfficeratSogetizpartofCapgeminiGroupChiefInnovationOfficerandmemberoftheGlobalExecutiveCommitteeGenerativeyWhencybermeetsQuantumQuantumTSemiconduerofnewchemistryBatteriesSpaceTechWHICHTECHNO1.OGY(MEGA)TRENDSWI1.1.SEEINF1.ECTIONPOINTSIN2024?Whenitcomestoshapingthefuture,alltechn

4、ologytrendsmightholdequalsignificance,asforecastingisoftenachallenging,ifnotanimpossibletask.However,certaintrendsemergeasmoreprominentduetotheiranticipatedsubstantialimpactandtheexpectationofsignificantbreakthroughsinthenearfuture.Wehavepinpointedfivesuchprominenttechnologymegatrendsthatshouldhavei

5、n刊ectionpointsin2024:IIntelligence-Smallwillbethenewbigoorezs1.awisntdead,butitischangingsingtheearthschallengesfromouterspace6TechnoVision2024:ExecutiveCompanionWhyitmatters:ThedevelopmentsinGenerativeAlareindicatinganevolutiontowardsamoreaccessible,versatile,andcost-effectivetechnology.Theinnovati

6、onsmentionedbeforewillenableorganizationstoscaletheirGenerativeAlusecasesfasterwhilealsoderivingmorelong-termvaluefromthetechnology.isstillmanyyearsaway.Nonetheless,2024willseevariousclaimsofanarrowquantumadvantageinspecializedtaskswithinlargerconventionalcomputationalWOrk刊。ws.Boostedbyearlysuccesse

7、s,broaderquantumadvantageswillappearinthecomingyears.Drivenbytheprospectofquantumadvantageinthenearfuture,companies,startups,andQUANTUMTECHNO1.OGY-WHENCYBERMEETSQUANTUMEntering2024,quantumcomputinghasdefinitivelylefttheeraoftheoreticalexplorationandenteredazUtiIity-ScaIezquantumcomputationage.Asdefi

8、nedbyIBM,/utility-scale7quantumcomputersprovidecomputingcapabilitiesbeyondthereachofclassicalcomputationsandopenadoortoaquantumadvantageinreal-worldcommercialquantumapplications.Assignificantchallengesinqubitqualityremain,alarge-scale,broadquantumadvantageAdditionally,asquantumcomputersaresupposedto

9、breakcommonlyusedpublic-keycryptosystems(suchasRSAandECC)oneday,alarge-scalemigrationtoquantum-safetechnologyisabouttostart.Drivenbytechnologicalimprovementsandregulatorypressure,2024promisestobeapivotalyearforquantumsafesolutions.Alreadyin2017,theNationalInstituteofStandardsandTechnology(NIST)initi

10、atedapublicprocesstoselectquantum-resistantpublic-keycryptographicalgorithmsforstandardization.Theyrealizedthatpublic-keyinfrastructuresarecrucialtodigitaltrust,protectingeverythingfromwebconnectionsandemailtodigitallysigneddocumentsandcode.Thealgorithmsforasymmetriccryptographyinplacetodayrelyonmat

11、hematicallychallengingproblems,suchasfactoringverylargenumbers,whicharecomputationallydifficultforcurrentcomputers.Traditionalcomputerswouldtakeyearstobreakthesealgorithms.AsufficientlypowerfulquantumcomputerCondensedMatterPhysics:Understandingthebehaviorofcomplexmaterialsataquantumlevelcanrevolutio

12、nizematerialscienceandengineering.QuantumChemistry:SolvingtheSchrddingerequationforlargermolecules,whichclassicalcomputersstrugglewith,canleadtodrugdiscoveryandmaterialsbreakthroughs.ComputationalFluidDynamics:Addressingthechallengesinsimulatingfluidflow,essentialforaerodynamicsandclimatemodelling.P

13、artialDifferentialEquations:Theseequationsarefundamentalinexpressingphysicalphenomenaandsolvingthemmoreefficientlywillprovidevalueinfieldslikefinanceandengineering.1.ogisticsandOperationsResearch:Optimizingsupplychainsandlogisticscanbenefitfromquantumcomputingbyfindingsolutionstocomplexoptimizationp

14、roblemsmorequickly.SamplingandMonteCarloMethods:Usedinstatisticalphysicsandfinance,thesemethodscanbequadraticallyfasteronaquantumcomputer,providingmoreaccuratemodelsandforecasts.couldsolvethesehardmathproblemsinamatterofminutesbyleveragingitsabilitytoprocessmultiplesimultaneousstates.NISTzsgoalistoe

15、stablishanewstandardbasedonevenhardermathproblems(e.g.latticecryptography)thataredifficultforbothtraditionalandquantumcomputers.Tobeclear,quantum-safealgorithmsdonotrequireaquantumcomputerthemselves;theyprotectagainstanattackleveragingaquantumcomputerwhentheybecomepowerfulenough.Inlate2022ztheUSGove

16、rnmentenactedtheQuantumComputingCybersecurityPreparednessAct/whichpromisestocatalyzeaseismicshiftacrossindustries.ThisgroundbreakinglawmandatesthatallprivateentitiesconductingbusinesswiththeUSgovernmentmustmigratetoPQCwithinayearaftertheNISTstandardsarefinallyreleased.ThisshouldaffectPQCstandardsglo

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