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1、EXECUTIVECOMPANIONTECHNOVISION2024/PromptthefutureTAB1.ECONTENTSOFINTRODUCTION05WHICHTECHNO1.OGY(MEGA)TRENDSWI1.1.SEEINF1.ECTIONPOINTSIN2024?QGenerativeArtificialIntelligence-SmallWillBetheNewBig07QuantumTechnology-WhenCyberMeetsQuantum08Semiconductors-Moorezs1.awIsntDead,ButItIsChanging10Batteries-
2、ThePowerofNewChemistry11SpaceTech-AddressingtheEarthsChallengesfromOuterSpace13Beyond2024-OtherTechnologiesShapingtheNext5Years15TECHNOVISION2024SUMMARIZED1622TECHNOVISION2024:WHASNEW?19FURTHERRESEARCH/PromptWhatwillsmarttechnologyinthefuturelooklike?MichielboreelPASCA1.BRIERExecutiveVicePresidentan
3、dGlobalChiefTechnologyOfficeratSogetizpartofCapgeminiGroupChiefInnovationOfficerandmemberoftheGlobalExecutiveCommitteeGenerativeyWhencybermeetsQuantumQuantumTSemiconduerofnewchemistryBatteriesSpaceTechWHICHTECHNO1.OGY(MEGA)TRENDSWI1.1.SEEINF1.ECTIONPOINTSIN2024?Whenitcomestoshapingthefuture,alltechn
4、ologytrendsmightholdequalsignificance,asforecastingisoftenachallenging,ifnotanimpossibletask.However,certaintrendsemergeasmoreprominentduetotheiranticipatedsubstantialimpactandtheexpectationofsignificantbreakthroughsinthenearfuture.Wehavepinpointedfivesuchprominenttechnologymegatrendsthatshouldhavei
5、n刊ectionpointsin2024:IIntelligence-Smallwillbethenewbigoorezs1.awisntdead,butitischangingsingtheearthschallengesfromouterspace6TechnoVision2024:ExecutiveCompanionWhyitmatters:ThedevelopmentsinGenerativeAlareindicatinganevolutiontowardsamoreaccessible,versatile,andcost-effectivetechnology.Theinnovati
6、onsmentionedbeforewillenableorganizationstoscaletheirGenerativeAlusecasesfasterwhilealsoderivingmorelong-termvaluefromthetechnology.isstillmanyyearsaway.Nonetheless,2024willseevariousclaimsofanarrowquantumadvantageinspecializedtaskswithinlargerconventionalcomputationalWOrk刊。ws.Boostedbyearlysuccesse
7、s,broaderquantumadvantageswillappearinthecomingyears.Drivenbytheprospectofquantumadvantageinthenearfuture,companies,startups,andQUANTUMTECHNO1.OGY-WHENCYBERMEETSQUANTUMEntering2024,quantumcomputinghasdefinitivelylefttheeraoftheoreticalexplorationandenteredazUtiIity-ScaIezquantumcomputationage.Asdefi
8、nedbyIBM,/utility-scale7quantumcomputersprovidecomputingcapabilitiesbeyondthereachofclassicalcomputationsandopenadoortoaquantumadvantageinreal-worldcommercialquantumapplications.Assignificantchallengesinqubitqualityremain,alarge-scale,broadquantumadvantageAdditionally,asquantumcomputersaresupposedto
9、breakcommonlyusedpublic-keycryptosystems(suchasRSAandECC)oneday,alarge-scalemigrationtoquantum-safetechnologyisabouttostart.Drivenbytechnologicalimprovementsandregulatorypressure,2024promisestobeapivotalyearforquantumsafesolutions.Alreadyin2017,theNationalInstituteofStandardsandTechnology(NIST)initi
10、atedapublicprocesstoselectquantum-resistantpublic-keycryptographicalgorithmsforstandardization.Theyrealizedthatpublic-keyinfrastructuresarecrucialtodigitaltrust,protectingeverythingfromwebconnectionsandemailtodigitallysigneddocumentsandcode.Thealgorithmsforasymmetriccryptographyinplacetodayrelyonmat
11、hematicallychallengingproblems,suchasfactoringverylargenumbers,whicharecomputationallydifficultforcurrentcomputers.Traditionalcomputerswouldtakeyearstobreakthesealgorithms.AsufficientlypowerfulquantumcomputerCondensedMatterPhysics:Understandingthebehaviorofcomplexmaterialsataquantumlevelcanrevolutio
12、nizematerialscienceandengineering.QuantumChemistry:SolvingtheSchrddingerequationforlargermolecules,whichclassicalcomputersstrugglewith,canleadtodrugdiscoveryandmaterialsbreakthroughs.ComputationalFluidDynamics:Addressingthechallengesinsimulatingfluidflow,essentialforaerodynamicsandclimatemodelling.P
13、artialDifferentialEquations:Theseequationsarefundamentalinexpressingphysicalphenomenaandsolvingthemmoreefficientlywillprovidevalueinfieldslikefinanceandengineering.1.ogisticsandOperationsResearch:Optimizingsupplychainsandlogisticscanbenefitfromquantumcomputingbyfindingsolutionstocomplexoptimizationp
14、roblemsmorequickly.SamplingandMonteCarloMethods:Usedinstatisticalphysicsandfinance,thesemethodscanbequadraticallyfasteronaquantumcomputer,providingmoreaccuratemodelsandforecasts.couldsolvethesehardmathproblemsinamatterofminutesbyleveragingitsabilitytoprocessmultiplesimultaneousstates.NISTzsgoalistoe
15、stablishanewstandardbasedonevenhardermathproblems(e.g.latticecryptography)thataredifficultforbothtraditionalandquantumcomputers.Tobeclear,quantum-safealgorithmsdonotrequireaquantumcomputerthemselves;theyprotectagainstanattackleveragingaquantumcomputerwhentheybecomepowerfulenough.Inlate2022ztheUSGove
16、rnmentenactedtheQuantumComputingCybersecurityPreparednessAct/whichpromisestocatalyzeaseismicshiftacrossindustries.ThisgroundbreakinglawmandatesthatallprivateentitiesconductingbusinesswiththeUSgovernmentmustmigratetoPQCwithinayearaftertheNISTstandardsarefinallyreleased.ThisshouldaffectPQCstandardsglo