英文【NREL】储能未来研究—分布式太阳能和储能展望：方法与情景（英）.docx

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1、NRE1.TransformingENERGYAshreetaPrasanna,KevinMcCabe,BenSigrin,andNateBlairDNRE1.TransformingENERGYStorageFuturesStudyDistributedSolarandStorageOutlook:MethodologyandScenariosAshreetaPrasanna,KevinMcCabe,BenSigrin,andNateBlairSuggestedCitation：Prasanna,Ashreeta,KevinMcCabe.BenSlgrin,andNateBlair.Stor

2、ageFuturesStudy;DistributedSolarandStorageOutlook:MethodologyandScenarios.Golden,CO:NationalRenewableEnergy1.aboratory.NRE1.TP-7A40-79790.https:WWW.nrel.gov/docs/fy21osti/79790.pdf.NOTICEThisworkwasauthoredbytheNationalRenewableEnergy1.aboratory,operatedbyAllianceforSustainableEnergy,1.1.C,fortheU.S

3、.DepartmentofEnergy(DOE)underContractNo.DE-AC36-08G028308.FundingprovidedbyU.S.DepartmentofEnergyOfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergySolarEnergyTechnologiesOffice,U.S.DepartmentofEnergyOfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergyWindEnergyTechnologiesOffice,U.S.DepartmentofEnergyOfficeofEnergyEf

4、ficiencyandRenewableEnergyWaterPowerTechnologiesOfficeandU.S.DepartmentofEnergyOfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergyOfficeofStrategicAnalysis.TheviewsexpressedhereindonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheDOEortheU.S.Government.ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergy1.aborator

5、y(NRE1.)atWWW.nrel.gov/Dublications.U.S.DepartmentofEnergy(DOE)reportsproducedafter1991andagrowingnumberofpre-1991documentsareavailablefreeviaWWWQST1.gov.Frontandbackcoverphotos:iStock936999506,iStock1178922834,/Stock1202603676,iStock1270012506.NRE1.printsonpaperthatcontainsrecycledcontent.PrefaceTh

6、isreportisoneinaseriesoftheNationalRenewableEnergy1.aboratory,sStorageFuturesStudy(SFS)publications.TheSFSisamultiyearresearchprojectthatexplorestheroleandimpactofenergystorageintheevolutionandoperationoftheU.S.powersector.TheSFSisdesignedtoexaminethepotentialimpactofenergystoragetechnologyadvanceme

7、ntonthedeploymentofutility-scalestorageandtheadoptionofdistributedstorage,aswellastheimplicationsforfuturepowersysteminfrastructureinvestmentandoperations.Theresearchfindingsandsupportingdatawillbepublishedasaseriesofreports,witheachreportbeingreleasedonitscompletion.Thefollowingtableliststhespecifi

8、cresearchtopicsplannedforexaminationundertheSFSandtheassociatedpublicationformats.Thisreport,thefourthintheSFSseries,providesasetofscenariosforcost-effectivenessandcustomeradoptionforarangeofscenariosthatincludefuturetechnologycostsandvaluationofbackuppower.TheSFSseriesprovidesdataandanalysisinsuppo

9、rtoftheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy,sEnergySlOrageGrandChallenge,acomprehensiveprogramtoacceleratethedevelopment,commercialization,andutilizationofnext-generationenergystoragetechnologiesandsustainAmericangloballeadershipinenergystorage.TheEnergyStorageGrandChallengeemploysausecaseframeworktoensurestorage

10、technologiescancost-effectivelymeetspecificneeds,andincorporatesabroadrangeoftechnologiesinseveralcategories:electrochemical,electromechanical,thermal,flexiblegeneration,flexiblebuildings,andpowerelectronics.Moreinformation,anysupportingdataassociatedwiththisreport,linkstootherreportsintheseries,and

11、otherinformationaboutthebroaderstudyareavailableathttps:/WWW.nrel.gov/analysis/StOrage-futures.html.TitleDescriptionRelationtoThisReportTheFourPhasesofStorageDeployment:AFrameworkfortheExpandingRoleofStorageintheU.S.PowerSystemExplorestherolesandopportunitiesfornew,cost-competitivestationaryenergyst

12、oragewithaconceptualframeworkbasedonfourphasesofcurrentandpotentialfuturestoragedeployment,andpresentsavaluepropositionforenergystoragethatcouldresultincost-effectivedeploymentsreachinghundredsofgigawattsofinstalledcapacity.Providesbroadercontextontheimplicationsofthecostandperformancecharacteristic

13、sfortheU.S.gridandprovidesagrid-scalebackdroptothedistributedstorageconclusionsofthisreport.StorageFuturesStudy:StorageTechnologyModelingInputDataReportReviewsthecurrentcharacteristicsofabroadrangeofmechanical,thermal,andelectrochemicalstoragetechnologieswithapplicationtothepowersector.Providescurre

14、ntandfutureprojectionsofcost,performancecharacteristics,andlocationalavailabilityofspecificcommercialtechnologiesalreadydeployed,includinglithium-ionbatterysystemsandpumpedstoragehydropower.Providesstoragetechnologycostandperformanceassumptionsthatinformstoragedeploymentandgridevolutionscenariospres

15、entedinthisreport.StorageFuturesStudy:EconomicPotentialofDiurnalStorageintheU.S.PowerSectorAssessestheeconomicpotentialforutilityscalediurnalstorageandtheeffectsthatstoragecapacityadditionscouldhaveonpowersystemevolutionandoperations.Analyzesutility-scalestoragedeploymentandgridevolutionscenariosasa

16、complementtothisreport.StorageFuturesStudy:DistributedSolarandStorageOutlook:MethodologyandScenariosAssessesthecustomeradoptionofdistributeddiurnalstorageforseveralfuturescenariosandtheimplicationsforthedeploymentofdistributedgenerationandpowersystemevolution.Thisreport.GridOperationalImplicationsofWidespreadStorageDeployment(forthcoming)Assessestheoperationandassociatedvaluestreamsofenergystorageforseveralpowers