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1、7636人失踪7636MISSINGPERSONS2260起凶案2260MURDERS6起未解决的连环谋杀案6UNSOLVEDSERIALKILLINGS100起事件100EPISODES数字追凶第五季第21集你在做额外练习？So,youworkingonalittleextracredit?算是思维训练吧Itskindofathoughtexercise.关于24起未解决的谋杀案Abouttwodozenunsolvedmurders.更像是真实演练吧Imean,itlooksprettyrealtome.自从DOn受了伤EversinceDongothurt,我不禁在想每种暴&hearts
2、;力♥行为Icantstopthinkingeveryviolentactis,在某种程度上都是可解释的-你列出了很多不同动机tosomedegree,explicable.YougotalotOfdifferent不同的受害者类型：M.0.shere,differentvictimtypes:男人女人儿童men,women,children;枪击刀刺窒息棒打shot,stabbed,strangled,bludgeoned.还有3例交肇事逃逸Threeofthesearepedestrianhit-and-runs.但这里有个时间模式Butthereisatimelinepat
3、tern.你在这所有里面发现r个时间模式？Youfoundapatterninallthis?对川搜寻宇宙中智慧生命迹象时Yep.Byusingsomeofthesamemathematicalconceptsthatlook所用的数学概念forsignsOfintelligentlifeinouruniverse.啊那是当然啦Ah,yeah,ofcourse.并不是看起来那样的在“远在天际”It,snotasoutthereasitseems.宇宙产生了无尽的静态电磁场Theuniversecreatesanendlessbackgroundofelectromagneticstatic.S
4、ETI探索外星智能SETI-theSearchforExtra-TerrestrialIntelligence-用算式对这随意的宇宙噪音进行筛选usesalgorithmstosiftthroughallthisrandomcosmicnoise找到复杂但重复的信♥号♥♥tofindasignalthatiscomplexyetrepetitive,由智慧生命发出的非天然模式anon-naturalpatterncreatedbyanintelligence.我修改了信♥号♥♥探测公式来分&hearts淅&he
5、arts该模式veadaptedthesignaldetectionalgorithmtoanalyzethepattern,得到了andIgot.这个可见的时空模型thisspatio-temporalvisualizationmodel.关联起来是个半月形Itssequenceishalflunar.它预示了经常性的情感需求Itsindicativeofarecurringemotionalneed,靠计划和监视来缓解bufferedbyplanningandsurveillance.但动机和受害者都完全不同？Okay,butiftheM.O.sandthevictimsarealldif
6、ferent?他是个另类的连环杀手He,sadifferenttypeofserialkiller.好吧Allright.他在研究一个理论He,sworkingonatheory.只有他能发现得了的连环杀手Serialkillernobodysnoticedbuthim.他怎么发现的？Howdoeshefigure?通过外太空信♥号♥♥Signalsfromdeepspace.即使对Charlie来说也有点太创新了SeemsalittleoutsidetheboxevenforCharlie.是啊问题是几年前Yeah,thingis,afewyears
7、ago,Charlie预测到DOn会在银行抢案中中枪DongotshotatabankrobberythatCharliehadpredicted.他就躲进车♥库♥里Heretreatedtohisgarage,把自己埋进了无法解决的数学难题andheburiedhimselfinanUnsolvablemathprlem.他在里面待了整整5天了He,sbeeninhere24/7thepastfivedays.Youknow,创伤后应激障碍有种症状被称为过度警觉theresasymptomofposttraumaticstressdisordercalledhyp
8、ervigilance.意味着你总是警惕着潜在的危险威胁MeansyourealwayslookingoutforpotentialDANGER,Threats觉得自己身处险境thinkingyouseeit.但其实什么都没有Anditsnotreallythere.吓我一跳Tryingtoscaremetodeath.你在FBl忙什么要到凌晨3点才回来？没什么WhatareyoudoingattheFBItill3:00inthemorning?Nothing.没什么？Nothing,huh?你在查连环案件Youreworkingsomeserialcase.David告诉我的Davidto
9、ldme.他觉得我是反应过度？Hethinksmoverreacting?Charlie嘿这不是你的错Charlie,hey,thisisntyourfault.我知道Iknowthat.你得向前看Well,yougottomoveon.你什么时候向前看了？Sincewhenhaveyouevermovedon?自从我被刺伤以后SinceIgotstabbed.迟早我们得接受不是所有问题都能解决的Soonerorlater,we,rebothgonnahavetolearnwecantsolveeveryproblem.嘿！Hey!打911!Call911!Betancourt感谢你能来Ah,
10、Betancourt,thanksforcoming.不用谢JJ是什么情况？Yeah,noproblem,J).Whatchagot?邮差在回家途中Postalworkerhalfwaythroughhisrounds头部中枪小口径近距离射击poedinthehead,small-caliber,close-range.他在小巷子里干什么？Andwhatshedoinginthealley?附近居民说他总是走这条捷径Aresidentsaysheusesthealleywayasashortcut.也许凶手知道他的日常路线Maybesomebodyknewhisroutine.你的人在查这个观
11、点Butyourguy,sworkingonthatangle.我的人？Myguy?对那个教授Yeah,theprofessor.他是你的人吧？He,syours,isnthe?对对是我们的Yeah.Yeah,hesours.这个模式不完美Well,thepatternisntperfect.现在仍有不少不规则的微团簇Imean,therearemicro-clustersthatarecurrentlyanomalous.但从整体上看模式非常有规律Buttheoverallpatternisextraordinarilyregular,这表示一个微团簇里有几起谋杀案？whichisindic
12、ative.Howmanymurdersinamicro-cluster?多为两起Two.Mostly.偶尔三起-还真是微乎其微Sometimesthree.Thatsverymicro.DaVid这些只是表层David,thoseareoutliers.微团簇是持续有效地统计的Themacro-patternispersistent,statisticallyvalid.CharIie5年前我们在这里办了同一个案子Charlie,webothstartedhereonthesamecasefiveyearsago.好吗？你知道我对你的作为很信任Okay?Youknowmabelieverin
13、whatyoudo.我要求的太多了读完你的理论要花上百工时WAndmaskingforaIorkingyourtheorywouldtakehundredsofman-hours.大家都在忙着确认犯罪Everybodysalreadybusyonconfirmedcrimes;要是我派人去杳无根据的连环案件tifItriedoeassignagentstoworkaserialcasethathadnoserialelements,处于一个数学家发现的时间模式外outsideofatimelinepatterndiscoveredbyamathematician,那我可就要被开除了Imean,
14、dgetred.这就是他想要的Thisiswhathescountingon.你说什么？Excuseme?他知道连环案凶手会因为模式而被抓Heknowsserialkillersgetcaughtbecauseofpatterns,泄露特点强迫性举动telltaletraits,compulsivebehavior,所以他有意改变动机武器受害者类型soheswitcheshisM.O.s,hisweapons,victimtypesonpurpose.无重复行为意味着无模式可循Norepetitivebehaviormeansnopattern.那就没理由消耗执法资源去寻找模式Noreason
15、toexpendlawenforcementresourcestofindone.好吧你想我怎么做Charlie?Allright,whatdoyouwantmetodo,Charlie?外星智能探索望远镜总在收集数据SETItelescopes-alwaysgatheringdata.我需要更多数据Ineedmoredata.你能提供什么都行lltakeanythingyoucangiveme.那好吧Okay,allright.这里有一些业余爱好者统计的连环杀手数据Theresalotofamateurworkbeingdoneforserialkillerdata,有一些惊人的统一andsomeofitissurprisinglycomprehensive.业余爱好者对Amateurwork.Yeah.
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